Based on the latest market analysis report, investors and economic analysts show significant interest in the Federal Reserve's policy direction for 2024. According to a comprehensive assessment of data and market sentiment, there is a 50% probability of observing the Federal Reserve taking measures to lower the target range of federal funds interest rates by 100 basis points. This prediction is grounded in considerations of the current global economic situation, inflation pressures, and overall domestic economic activity in the United States. Notably, such a substantial rate cut reflects market concerns about the risk of an economic downturn, as well as the need for monetary policy flexibility. Although this prediction carries uncertainty, it provides important reference information for market participants, aiding them in better assessing risks and opportunities during their decision-making process.