According to the latest data, on the Polymarket platform, the probability prediction for the 2024 US presidential election shows that Donald Trump's chances of winning have decreased from previous figures to 52%. Meanwhile, Kamala Harris' probability of securing the presidency has significantly increased to 46%. This change reflects adjustments in market expectations for the election outcome. Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market platform based on blockchain technology, where users can buy tokens to predict future event outcomes and potentially gain or lose. These prediction results can reflect public views on political trends, although they are not official predictions, they still provide valuable reference information.