Analysis of the Probability of Federal Reserve Rate Cut in September: 50 Basis Points is Most Likely
Publication Time:2024-08-14 06:11:05
According to the CME 'FedWatch' report, the market's anticipation for the Fed's actions in September is highly focused. The data shows that the probability of a 25 basis point cut by the Fed in September stands at 46%, while the probability of a more aggressive 50 basis point cut reaches 54%. This indicates that the market generally expects the Fed to adopt a more accommodative monetary policy. Additionally, for the policy direction in November, the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point cut is 29.6%, and the probability of a cumulative cut of 75 basis points reaches 51.2%. The possibility of a cumulative cut of 100 basis points is relatively small, at only 19.2%. These figures reflect the comprehensive expectations and analyses of the market regarding the Fed's future monetary policy direction.
rate cut
Federal Reserve
probability analysis