On August 26, the leading decentralized prediction market Polymarket released a new report indicating that the current forecast for Telegram founder Pavel Durov to be released in August has dropped to 26%. This data represents a significant decline from 50%, which was the probability when the bet was first created last Sunday, reflecting concerns about the legal challenges Durov may face. Users have noticed that the intervention of French authorities and subsequent pre-trial detention measures have had a notable impact on Durov's future prospects, leading to this sharp decline in probability.