According to the latest analysis, the probability of the Federal Reserve taking action and adjusting interest rates in September with a rate cut of 25 basis points is the highest, reaching 68%. This data reflects the market's expectations regarding the current economic conditions and the direction of monetary policy. In comparison, the probability of a 50 basis points rate cut is slightly lower, at only 32%. For future rate cut expectations, data shows that by November, the cumulative probability of a 50 basis points rate cut is 48.7%, while the cumulative probability of a 75 basis points rate cut is 42.2%, indicating that the market's expectation for a larger scale rate cut is relatively conservative. Meanwhile, although the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 100 basis points is relatively low, at 9.1%, it still garners some market attention. These data provide investors with a reference for future monetary policy trends, helping them make more reasonable investment decisions.