Market Forecast: Over 50% Chance of Fed Rate Cut in September
Publication Time:2024-09-06 20:31:09
In recent times, financial markets have been closely monitoring the monetary policy direction of the United States Federal Reserve System (Fed). According to market analysts' observations, the possibility of the Fed taking a rate-cutting action in September is steadily increasing. Specifically, there is a widespread expectation that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points, with this probability reaching 57%. Additionally, a more substantial cut of 50 basis points has received 43% prediction support. Moreover, considering the economic environment over the coming months, the market predicts that there is a 30.4% probability of the Fed accumulating a 50 basis point cut in November, while an accumulation of 75 basis points has a probability of 49.5%. The possibility of a 100 basis point cut, though small, stands at 20.1%. These figures reflect the market's concerns about the current global economic situation and its strong anticipation of the Fed's potential easing monetary policy.
Federal Reserve
Economic Forecast
Interest Rate Cut