In a recent poll conducted by Reuters, Kamala Harris leads with 44% support, just ahead of Donald Trump's 42%, with a margin of only 2%. This implies that theoretically, Trump lags behind Harris by 2%. Despite this, the margin of error for Reuters' poll is within 3 points, meaning that under the worst-case scenario, Trump could still lead Harris by 1%. However, in contrast to the poll results, the cryptocurrency prediction market Polymarket shows that the probability of Trump winning the election stands at 62%, compared to Harris' 36%. This indicates that the market's expectation of Trump's victory remains relatively high.