Recent market analysis data suggests that there is a 71% probability of a 25 basis point interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September. This highlights the sentiment of investors regarding the future of the global economy and their anticipation of a possible deceleration in US economic growth. Additionally, for policy adjustments in November, there is a 28.7% chance of cumulative cuts of 50 basis points, while the probabilities for cumulative cuts of 75 and 100 basis points stand at 54.0% and 17.3%, respectively. These figures provide insight into the dynamic judgments of the market regarding the future direction of Fed policies and the challenges and choices facing policymakers in the face of complex economic conditions.